Prof.
TV Paul, of McGill University, Canada, has explored the country in
depth in his engaging book, 'The Warrior State – Pakistan In The
Contemporary World'
Photo by Suresh Nampoothiry
“One of the major grudges that Pakistanis hold against Indians is the loss of Eastern Pakistan, which became the new country of Bangladesh, in 1971, with the help of India,” says TV Paul, a Malayali, who is the James McGill Professor of International Relations at McGill University in Montreal, Canada. “They consider it as an act of perfidy that needs to be avenged.”
Paul says that there is a feeling of betrayal in Pakistan. “It is like two brothers dividing their ancestral property, and one not getting enough and feeling unhappy,” says Paul, while on a recent visit to Kochi. “Pakistanis feel that, during the 1947 Partition, they should have received more money, the whole of Kashmir, and more areas of Punjab and Bengal.”
Thanks
to India's huge size, an insecure Pakistan wants to have strategic
parity. “But that is difficult to achieve because they are
economically unequal states,” says Paul. “So Pakistan has become
friends with the USA and China to balance off India.”
The challenge for the Narendra Modi government will be to break down these barriers that have been created during the past 66 years. “It will take a lot of effort,” says Paul. “But I don't think Pakistan is ready for peace with India.”
And
it does not help that Pakistan is one of the most violent and
dangerous countries in the world now. That's because the security
services have created a monster called the Taliban, which they are
unable to control.
“The
insurgents have created an uncertainty of life in Pakistan by their
bold attacks, like the one at the Karachi airport on June 8th,”
says Paul. “So people are not able to enjoy any degree of security
as well as support from the state. Their daily lives are a
challenge.”
And
the Taliban could wreak havoc if they could get access to any one of
the 110 nuclear warheads that Pakistan has. “This is a major
concern for the international community,” says Paul. “However,
there are two things that prevent this possibility.”
One
is the 'Permissive Action Links' technology which the US has given to
Pakistan. This prevents unauthorised arming or use of a nuclear
weapon.
The
second attribute is that the weapons are not mated. This means the
components are kept separately. “So the Army will need a bit of
time to assemble them,” says Paul. “However, the militants will
try to capture some of these facilities, with the possible help from
the jihadists within the army or the ISI (Inter-Services
Intelligence) who have an interest to put the weapons in the wrong
hands.”
All
these and more have been elaborated on in Paul's lucidly-written
book, 'The Warrior State – Pakistan In The Contemporary World',
published recently by Random House India.
And
his book makes it clear that the military continues to call the shots
in Pakistan. “For any major initiative, with respect to India,
Afghanistan, or the Taliban, the military takes the final decision,”
says Paul. “The civilian government has been trying to get some
autonomy, especially in foreign affairs and defence, but with limited
success.”
However,
Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif has been able to appoint General
Raheel Sharif, his choice, as chief of the army staff. But
whether Sharif will be able to transform the administration is yet to
be seen. “For that to happen, the military has to agree on many
things,” says Paul.
Meanwhile,
the silver lining has been the judiciary. “Earlier, the judiciary
used to act as the third arm of the government, but now it has shown
an activism, which has kindled hope,” says Paul.
But
even even as it is trying to send [former President] Pervez Musharraf
to jail, the likely possibility is that the government will send him
into exile. “So, it is unclear
whether the judiciary can bring about fundamental reforms,”
says Paul. “The lawyers who were demanding Musharraf's ouster were
the same ones who applauded Mumtaz
Qadri, the killer of Punjab
governor, Salman Taseer.”
Taseer
had appealed for a pardon for a Christian woman, Asia Bibi, who
had been sentenced to death for allegedly insulting the Prophet
Muhammad. “So there is a divisive tendency among the people,”
says Paul.
The
country is not only divided, but poor. This, despite getting $73.1
billion in aid from several international sources, between 1960 and
2012.
Unfortunately,
most of the aid went for military purposes. “Pakistan bought
several weapons, and a lot of the cash went into the coffers of the
military and the civilian elite,” says Paul. “The funds were not
used for education, economic development or poverty reduction. In the
end the country has remained poor.”
Even being a one-religion country has not helped. “The use of Islam has failed to pacify the class and ethnic divisions,” says Paul. “Economic development has been uneven. Some ethnic groups are less successful than the others. Overall, it is a grim situation.”
(The New Indian Express, Kochi and Thiruvananthapuram)
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